Angus Waters > The win away at West Brom meant our Hammers are guaranteed at least seventh place, and a spot in the new Europa Conference League play-off round, whilst a point at home to Southampton would ensure sixth spot and a place in the Europa League group stage.
We’re all but there, unless we fall to defeat at the London Stadium. Here’s what needs to go our way on Sunday. I’ve taken the calculator out, so you don’t have to!
As mentioned, a result on Sunday mathematically assures us of a spot in the Europa League. Unlike in recent times, we’d go straight into the group stage as opposed to having to progress though qualifying rounds. This means that nobody needs to have any Astra Giurgiu knockout nightmares.
If we fail to get a result, the equation is simple. Tottenham beating Leicester will mean we finish seventh and miss out on Europa League football, as whilst equal on points, they have a superior goal difference. The European tour will still be on, but at a much lower level. If Spurs fail to win, we’ll achieve sixth anyway. This is very much likely. After failing to get anything out of a dismal home performance against Aston Villa, Spurs are low on confidence and face a lively Leicester team, having just won the FA Cup, and still pushing for the Champions League in front of their home fans.
It’s worth noting that if Everton win and we lose, they’ll finish on the same points. However, they face Manchester City away from home, and will have to overturn an eight-goal deficit. Not a chance.
A win on Sunday means our highest points return in Premier League history, whilst we only need a result to secure our highest finishing position since 1999. But as it turns out, it’s so close to over already.